Australia

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Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Lynas Rare Earths, Australia's largest rare earths producer and the only major commercial separator outside China, reported roughly $295 million in revenue and approximately $57 million in profit from July 2025 through December 2025, marking a sharp year-on-year increase, Nikkei Asia reported on Feb. 26.

Australia: Lynas Profit Surge a Potential Sign of Viability for Non-China Rare Earths, but Risks Loom Large

Israel

India

Energy

Military & Security

Politics

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi concluded his Feb. 25-26 visit to Israel after meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with both leaders agreeing to upgrade their strategic partnership to a "Special Strategic Partnership for Peace, Innovation and Prosperity," The Economic Times reported on Feb. 26.Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi concluded his Feb. 25-26 visit to Israel after meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with both leaders agreeing to upgrade their strategic partnership to a "Special Strategic Partnership for Peace, Innovation and Prosperity," The Economic Times reported on Feb. 26.Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi concluded his Feb. 25-26 visit to Israel after meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with both leaders agreeing to upgrade their strategic partnership to a "Special Strategic Partnership for Peace, Innovation and Prosperity," The Economic Times reported on Feb. 26.Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi concluded his Feb. 25-26 visit to Israel after meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, with both leaders agreeing to upgrade their strategic partnership to a "Special Strategic Partnership for Peace, Innovation and Prosperity," The Economic Times reported on Feb. 26.

India, Israel: Cooperation Deepens Across Defense, Trade, Energy

United States

Chinese shipments of yttrium, one of the heavy rare earth elements subject to Chinese export licensing requirements, and scandium, another element typically classified as a rare earth element subject to such requirements, to U.S. companies have remained low, increasing shortages for some aerospace and semiconductor companies, Reuters reported on Feb. 25. 

China, U.S.: Chinese Export Controls Still Causing Yttrium, Scandium Shortages

U.S.-China Relations

Cyber

U.S.-based artificial intelligence company Anthropic said three Chinese AI companies set up more than 24,000 fraudulent accounts with its Claude AI model to conduct "distillation" techniques that use data outputs to advance their own AI systems, The Wall Street Journal reported on Feb. 23. 

U.S., China: Anthropic Claims Chinese Companies Are Using Claude for Distillation

India's foreign ministry announced that Prime Minister Narendra Modi will visit Israel from Feb. 25-26, Reuters reported on Feb. 24.

India, Israel: Modi To Visit Israel Feb. 25-26

Ethiopia

Somalia

Egypt

The Egyptian government is open to supporting Ethiopia's push to gain maritime access to the Red Sea if Addis Ababa shows "flexibility" regarding the Nile waters dispute, The National reported on Feb. 23, quoting Egyptian sources.

Egypt, Ethiopia: Egypt Reportedly Ready To Support Ethiopia's Sea Access in Return for 'Flexibility' in Nile Talks

Brazil

After attending the India AI Impact Summit, Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva will hold bilateral talks with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Feb. 21, Bloomberg reported on Feb. 19.

India, Brazil: Lula Is Set To Meet Modi Amid Negotiations on Critical Minerals and Rare Earths

France

Spain

French President Emmanuel Macron and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi agreed to renew their bilateral defense cooperation framework for another decade, expand joint defense production, deepen interoperability, increase joint exercises and raise defense industrial integration, according to a Feb. 17 joint statement. 

France, Spain, India: Defense and Technology Cooperation Is Set To Deepen

The world is connected, but even the broadest topics deserve an individual look. Below are our latest and most relevant science and technology analyses. 

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U.S. Vice President JD Vance's shadow is seen as he speaks during a press conference following a military briefing at the civilian military coordination center on Oct. 21, 2025, in Kiryat Gat, Israel. 

Negotiations over a new Israel-U.S. security agreement signal a pivot in the bilateral relationship as Israel increasingly focuses on strengthening its domestic defense industry.

How Israel's Defense Sector Will Evolve Amid the Government's Push for Self-Reliance

Nigeria

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RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

U.S.-Iran Relations

Israel-Hamas Conflict

As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.

2026 Annual Geopolitical Forecast: An Excerpt

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Indonesia

Japan

Mongolia

Myanmar

Philippines

South Korea

Thailand

Vietnam

Bulgaria

Afghanistan

Nepal

Flight routes.

As 2026 approaches, we look back at the previous year and consider the top five patterns and trends as measured by geopolitical impact.

2025: A Geopolitical Review

A container ship arrives Oct. 10 at the Port of Oakland, California. In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

In 2026, political calculations among major global players will significantly shape international affairs.

2026 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview

Media

Podcasts

How could advancements in AI increase the threat of state-sponsored cyber activity?

Essential Geopolitics: The Role of AI in State-Sponsored Cyber Espionage Campaigns

Tanzania

Hong Kong SAR, China

Protesters help an injured demonstrator near burning barricades amid clashes in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, on Oct. 29, 2025. 

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Unrest in Tanzania, an EU Summit in Ukraine

Iraq

Campaign posters Nov. 6 ahead of Nov. 11 Iraqi parliamentary elections in central Baghdad.

The Weekly Rundown: Iraqi Elections, a U.S.-China Deal Enters Effect

The COP30 logo at the central building is seen ahead of the COP30 Brazil Amazonia 2025 on Nov. 3, 2025 in Belem, Brazil. 

The 30th U.N. Climate Change Conference is poised to highlight the enduring impasse between developed and developing nations, particularly regarding financial responsibilities and the transition from fossil fuels.

A Breakthrough on Climate Targets is Unlikely at Brazil's COP30

The Geopolitics of Trade

The recalibration of the European Union's sustainability framework will ease near-term compliance burdens and costs for businesses but preserve long-term uncertainty.

The Geopolitics of Trade: EU Steps Back From Ambitious Environmental Policies

Chinese President Xi Jinping, center, and other senior government members and deputies attend the second plenary session of the National People's Congress at the Great Hall of the People on March 8, 2025, in Beijing, China.

The key political meeting will fill vacant Party seats and update economic and security goals, offering insights into China's policy priorities and the trajectory of Xi's political purges for the next five years. 

What To Watch for During China's Fourth Plenum

While countries will likely increasingly pursue trade deals with digital clauses, the slow pace of regulatory development, coupled with a global tendency toward protectionism, will impede the push toward building out more streamlined digital economy agreements.

The Geopolitics of Trade: The Role of Digital Trade in Modern Free Trade Agreements

Environment, Science & Technology

SITUATION REPORTS

Australia: Lynas Profit Surge a Potential Sign of Viability for Non-China Rare Earths, but Risks Loom Large

India, Israel: Cooperation Deepens Across Defense, Trade, Energy

China, U.S.: Chinese Export Controls Still Causing Yttrium, Scandium Shortages

U.S., China: Anthropic Claims Chinese Companies Are Using Claude for Distillation

India, Israel: Modi To Visit Israel Feb. 25-26

Egypt, Ethiopia: Egypt Reportedly Ready To Support Ethiopia's Sea Access in Return for 'Flexibility' in Nile Talks

India, Brazil: Lula Is Set To Meet Modi Amid Negotiations on Critical Minerals and Rare Earths

France, Spain, India: Defense and Technology Cooperation Is Set To Deepen

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