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Russia-Ukraine Conflict

The United States agreed to give Ukraine targeting data to help guide long-range missile strikes against Russian energy sites, The Wall Street Journal reported Oct. 1.

Ukraine: U.S. Expands Intelligence Support for Strikes Inside Russia

Energy

The Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Russian-occupied southern Ukraine has been without external electricity since Sept. 23, when its last remaining power line was severed during fighting, Reuters reported on Oct. 1.

Ukraine, Russia: Europe's Largest Nuclear Plant Teeters as Power Cut Extends Beyond a Week

Politics

Ukraine's top commander, Oleksandr Syrskyi, said Russia's 2025 summer offensive failed to achieve its main goals, Reuters reported on Sept. 26.

Ukraine, Russia: Kyiv Declares Russia's Summer Offensive 'Disrupted' 

Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov dismissed U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks calling Russia a "paper tiger" and urging Ukraine to retake all occupied land, Reuters reported on Sept. 24.

Russia, U.S.: Kremlin Pushes Back on Trump's 'Paper Tiger' Comment

Europe

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The European Commission unveiled its proposal for the EU's 19th package of sanctions against Russia on Sept. 19, Reuters reported the same day. The measures propose a full ban on Russian liquefied natural gas imports (LNG) starting Jan. 1, 2027, a year earlier than previously planned.

EU, Russia: European Commission Proposes Faster Phaseout of Russian LNG

Russia's pipeline monopoly Transneft warned producers it may restrict crude intake after repeated Ukrainian drone attacks damaged refineries and export terminals, Reuters reported on Sept. 16. 

Russia, Ukraine: Ukraine Expands Drone Strikes on Russian Energy Infrastructure

An EU delegation is in the United States to coordinate a new sanctions package against Russia, Bloomberg reported on Sept. 8. 

Russia, EU, U.S.: U.S.-EU Sanctions Push Complicated by Energy Rift Ahead of Washington Talks

Speaking at the Vladivostok Economic Forum, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned that ''any troops'' deployed to Ukraine would be considered ''legitimate targets for destruction,'' Reuters reported Sept. 5. 

Russia, Ukraine: Putin Declares Foreign Troops in Ukraine 'Legitimate Targets,' Dismisses Current Peace Efforts

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Forecast Webcast

Israel-Hamas Conflict

Join our analysts for this webcast recording exploring key topics identified in RANE's 2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast Webcast

U.S.-China Relations

Assessments

The fourth quarter will bring shifting trade tactics, evolving wars, and pivotal elections and flashpoints worldwide that will test governments’ stability and market confidence.

2025 Fourth-Quarter Forecast: An Excerpt

Guyana

Israel

Palestinian Territories

Australia

Japan

The President of the 80th session of the U.N. General Assembly and former German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock speaks during a General Assembly meeting to vote on a two-state solution to the Palestinian question on Sept. 12 at the United Nations in New York. Countries including Australia, Canada, France and the United Kingdom will likely formally recognize Palestinian statehood over the next several days at the assembly.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Western Countries Recognize Palestine, the EU Discusses a 'Drone Wall'

Snapshots

Poland

Russia's drone incursion into Poland highlights Moscow's increasing willingness to test Western resolve as it continues mass airstrikes on Ukraine, prepares for war games in Belarus and negotiations to end the war are stalled. 


Russian Drones Crossing into Poland Risk Escalation with NATO

Ecuador

Mexico

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India

Helicopters fly in the sky during a rehearsal for a military parade Aug. 24 in Beijing.

The Weekly Rundown: An SCO Summit, Rubio Closes Security Deals With Mexico and Ecuador

Trump and Zelensky at the White House West Wing in Washington, DC, on August 18, 2025.

Even as President Trump floats the possibility of a trilateral summit with Putin and Zelensky, a breakthrough in negotiations is unlikely given the Kremlin's noncommittal response to the Aug. 18 White House talks. 

Despite Flurry of U.S. Diplomacy, a Ukraine Peace Deal Will Remain Elusive

Columns

On Geopolitics

U.S. President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin pose ahead of a meeting in Helsinki, Finland, on July 16, 2018. 

As Putin and Trump prepare to meet in Alaska, the main risk for Ukraine is a U.S.-Russia deal that cements major territorial losses while offering weak security guarantees, leaving it vulnerable to future Russian aggression.

Putin-Trump Summit: The Risks for Ukraine

U.S. President Donald Trump (R) looks at Russia's President Vladimir Putin on Nov. 30, 2018, during the G20 Leaders' Summit in Buenos Aires, Argentina. U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected to meet in the coming days.

The Weekly Rundown: A Trump-Putin Summit, the Deadline for a U.S.-China Tariff Pause

U.S. President Donald Trump (left) and Russian President Vladimir Putin arrive at a press conference after their summit on July 16, 2018, in Helsinki, Finland.

The meeting risks sidelining Ukraine and enabling Russia to delay sanctions, consolidate battlefield gains, and advance its strategic interests through a U.S.-Russia peace framework.

What To Expect From the Upcoming Trump-Putin Summit

An oil tanker train passes near a refinery in Guwahati, India, on March 30, 2023. 

For now, India will likely keep importing cheap Russian oil in the hopes it can soon secure tariff relief, either directly via a U.S. trade deal or indirectly via a breakthrough in U.S.-Russia talks on Ukraine.

Will Trump's Tariffs Deter India From Buying Russian Oil?

Cambodia

Thailand

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in the Oval Office of the White House on July 22, 2025. 

The Weekly Rundown: Last-Minute U.S. Trade Talks, a New Polish President

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Latvia

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Estonia

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Belarus

A view in Rostock, Germany, of the first exit of warships for the NATO exercise BALTOPS in the Baltic Sea on June 5, 2025. 

In response to Russian aggression, NATO is seeking to establish strategic control over the Baltic Sea via rearmament and more assertive posturing, creating an environment where the risk of miscalculation grows exponentially.

Baltic on the Brink: The New Flashpoint in Europe's Confrontation With Russia

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

SITUATION REPORTS

Ukraine: U.S. Expands Intelligence Support for Strikes Inside Russia

Ukraine, Russia: Europe's Largest Nuclear Plant Teeters as Power Cut Extends Beyond a Week

Ukraine, Russia: Kyiv Declares Russia's Summer Offensive 'Disrupted'

Russia, U.S.: Kremlin Pushes Back on Trump's 'Paper Tiger' Comment

EU, Russia: European Commission Proposes Faster Phaseout of Russian LNG

Russia, Ukraine: Ukraine Expands Drone Strikes on Russian Energy Infrastructure

Russia, EU, U.S.: U.S.-EU Sanctions Push Complicated by Energy Rift Ahead of Washington Talks

Russia, Ukraine: Putin Declares Foreign Troops in Ukraine 'Legitimate Targets,' Dismisses Current Peace Efforts

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