United States

Iran

Israel

Oman

Switzerland

Military & Security

Politics

U.S.-Iran Relations

The United States and Iran held the second round of Omani-mediated indirect nuclear talks in Geneva, Switzerland, focused on limitations on Iran's nuclear program and verification involving international nuclear inspectors, Reuters reported on Feb. 17.

U.S., Iran: U.S. and Iran Hold Second Round of Indirect Nuclear Talks in Geneva

Palestinian Territories

Israel-Hamas Conflict

U.S. President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu convened for a three-hour meeting on Feb. 11, during which they failed to agree on an approach to Iran and Gaza, according to official statements released by the Israeli Prime Minister's Office and Trump on Truth Social.

U.S., Israel: Trump-Netanyahu Meeting Fails To Yield Alignment on Iran, Gaza

Australia

Police and thousands of demonstrators clashed near Sydney Town Hall during protests against Israeli President Isaac Herzog's visit to Australia, with 27 arrests reported and police using tear gas and pepper spray to disperse crowds, Reuters reported on Feb. 10.

Australia, Israel: Protesters Clash With Police During Israeli President's Visit

Indonesia

Indonesia's military says it is preparing a potential deployment of roughly 5,000 to 8,000 troops to Gaza as part of the U.S.-envisioned international stabilization force, with training oriented toward engineering, medical and reconstruction tasks, the Jakarta Globe reported on Feb. 10.

Indonesia, Gaza: Jakarta Moving Toward Deploying Thousands of Troops to Gaza

Israel's Southern Command has been building operational plans for a long offensive against the Palestinian militant group Hamas in the Gaza Strip should the government conclude that disarming the group is no longer feasible through diplomacy, The Times of Israel reported on Feb. 10.

Israel, Gaza: Israel Drawing Up Fresh War Plans for Gaza

Somalia

Egypt

Saudi Arabia

Turkey

United Arab Emirates

Saudi Arabia's and Somalia's defense ministers signed a new defense agreement on the sidelines of the World Defense Show in Riyadh on Feb. 9, the two governments said.

Saudi Arabia, Somalia: Defense Agreement Will Bolster Somalia's Capabilities

The Israeli Security Cabinet approved measures to expand Israeli administration over some religious sites in the West Bank, expand Israeli oversight and enforcement in some Palestinian Authority-administered areas, and remove restrictions that prevent private Jewish citizens from purchasing land in the West Bank, Reuters reported on Feb. 8.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Security Cabinet Approves Measures To Facilitate West Bank Settlement

Israel reopened the Rafah crossing between Gaza and Egypt on Feb. 2, allowing Palestinians to cross into the Strip for the first time since May 2024, BBC has reported.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Reopens Rafah Border Crossing

Assessments

Lebanon

Yemen

Europe

U.S. Vice President JD Vance's shadow is seen as he speaks during a press conference following a military briefing at the civilian military coordination center on Oct. 21, 2025, in Kiryat Gat, Israel. 

Economics

Environment, Science & Technology

Science & Technology

Negotiations over a new Israel-U.S. security agreement signal a pivot in the bilateral relationship as Israel increasingly focuses on strengthening its domestic defense industry.

How Israel's Defense Sector Will Evolve Amid the Government's Push for Self-Reliance

Vietnam

Slovakia

Hungary

Ukraine

Russia

India

U.S. President Donald Trump (C) holds up his signature on the founding charter of the Board of Peace among other world leaders at the World Economic Forum on Jan. 22 in Davos, Switzerland.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: The Board of Peace Convenes, Russia-Ukraine-U.S. Talks in Geneva

Syria

A fighter of the Syrian Democratic Forces stands on a road between the Syrian villages of Safa and Tell Brak on Jan. 24, 2026.

The government's deal with the Kurdish-led SDF will reduce sectarian tensions, accelerate a U.S. withdrawal and open space for a Syria-Israel security pact, though risks from local violence and the Islamic State remain.

What a Kurdish Integration Deal Means for Syria's Stability

China

Japan

South Korea

United Kingdom

Egyptian trucks and heavy machinery on Oct. 26, 2025, on the Egyptian side of the Rafah border crossing with the Gaza Strip.

The Weekly Rundown: A Gaza Border Reopening, EU Leaders Visit India

U.S. President Donald Trump (center) holds up his signature on the founding charter among world leaders during a ceremony for the Board of Peace at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Jan. 22, 2026.

The U.S.-led endeavor's immediate priority will be expanding aid in Gaza, but internal divisions, international skepticism and Israeli interference will likely undermine its effectiveness, especially if the Israel-Hamas ceasefire collapses.

What To Make of Trump's 'Board of Peace'

A photo of Israeli banknotes.

While Israel's economy has proven remarkably resilient during the years-long Gaza war with Hamas, persistent security risks and an upcoming election will present new challenges.

How Israel's Economy Will Weather Persistent Political and Security Concerns in 2026

Greenland

Denmark

France

A sniper police officer on the Congress hotel during the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum on Jan. 24, 2025, in the Alpine resort of Davos, Switzerland.

The Weekly Rundown: Davos, Europe Steps Up Greenland Deployments

Eritrea

Ethiopia

Sudan

Residents wave Somali flags as they attend a rally denouncing Israel's recognition of the breakaway region of Somaliland at Mogadishu Stadium in Mogadishu, Somalia, on Dec. 30, 2025. 

Two regional alignments are coalescing along the Red Sea and in the Horn of Africa, risking the escalation of proxy conflicts and longstanding rivalries.

The Unfolding Regional Realignments Along the Red Sea and Their Implications

People gather during a protest in Tehran, Iran, on Jan. 8, 2026. 

The severity of Iran's crackdown on protesters makes it highly likely that Trump will authorize some form of action (e.g., sanctions, cyberattacks or military strikes), with Tehran likely to respond proportionally unless the regime's survival is threatened.

The Risks and Implications of a U.S. Attack Against Iran

Iraq

A stock image shows the silhouettes of soldiers.

Emboldened by its recent capture of Venezuela's Maduro, the White House will likely seek to kill and potentially abduct more Middle Eastern extremists in the coming year, but pursuing high-profile targets like Iranian leaders will carry significant risks.

Potential Targets for U.S. Assassination and Abduction Operations in the Middle East

Nigeria

Colombia

Cuba

Mexico

Venezuela

Taiwan

Norway

Pakistan

Cyber

Global Trade

Social Issues

U.S.-China Relations

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

Soldiers ride atop an armored vehicle during a military parade in Idlib, Syria, on Dec. 8, 2025. 

Domestic political maneuvering and limits on foreign military support will constrain Syria's ability to rebuild its military following the end of the country's civil war.

Internal Divisions Will Hinder Syria's Military Modernization

Israel lives under difficult geopolitical circumstances. A small country with limited resources and surrounded by potentially hostile neighbors, Israel survives by allying with powers that do have the resources to manage the balance of power in the Middle East — namely, the United States. Its geographic position also means that Israel must manage complex relations with its Muslim neighbors by quiet collaboration, by exploiting divisions, and by parlaying its technological and economic advantages into create strategic dependencies. To navigate all the challenges presented by the Middle East, Israel will remain agile in its diplomacy and, when the situation warrants, steadfast in its pre-emptive strikes, its covert activities and its economic relationships.

Israel's Survival Strategy

The U.S. and the Balance of Power

Rebalancing Power in the Middle East

SITUATION REPORTS

U.S., Iran: U.S. and Iran Hold Second Round of Indirect Nuclear Talks in Geneva

U.S., Israel: Trump-Netanyahu Meeting Fails To Yield Alignment on Iran, Gaza

Australia, Israel: Protesters Clash With Police During Israeli President's Visit

Indonesia, Gaza: Jakarta Moving Toward Deploying Thousands of Troops to Gaza

Israel, Gaza: Israel Drawing Up Fresh War Plans for Gaza

Saudi Arabia, Somalia: Defense Agreement Will Bolster Somalia's Capabilities

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israeli Security Cabinet Approves Measures To Facilitate West Bank Settlement

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Israel Reopens Rafah Border Crossing

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