United States

Indonesia

Thailand

Economics

Energy

Indonesia and Thailand are reshaping energy import strategies to boost economic ties with the United States ahead of looming tariff deadlines, Reuters and the Bangkok Post reported respectively on May 9.

Indonesia, Thailand, U.S.: Jakarta and Bangkok Seek Energy Realignment To Avert Tariffs 

Ukraine

Russia

Military & Security

Politics

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

On May 8, U.S. President Donald Trump posted on his Truth Social platform that "the US calls for, ideally, a 30-day unconditional ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine, adding that "if the ceasefire is not respected, the US and its partners will impose further sanctions."

U.S., Russia: Trump Insists on Ceasefire, Suggests Sanctions Against Russia

Europe

The European Union is preparing a sweeping retaliatory package targeting up to 95 billion euros ($108 billion) worth of U.S. exports should trade negotiations with the Trump administration break down, Bloomberg reported on May 8. 

EU, U.S.: Brussels Prepares New Retaliatory Package on U.S. Products Should Talks Fail

Israel

Qatar

Syria

Qatar will provide $29 million a month to Syria to help pay civil servant salaries for at least the next three months, Reuters reported on May 7, citing Syria's finance minister.

Syria: Qatar Gains U.S. Sanctions Exemptions To Pay Syrian Civil Servant Salaries

China

Switzerland

U.S.-China Relations

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will meet in Switzerland on May 10-11 for trade talks, Bloomberg reported on May 6.

China, U.S.: Trade Talks To Commence in Switzerland

Brazil

Brazilian authorities said President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's government opposes pressure from the U.S. Trump administration to designate Brazil's two largest organized criminal groups as terrorist organizations, Folha de S.Paulo reported on May 6. 

Brazil, U.S.: Brazil Opposes Designating Local Organized Criminal Groups as Terrorists

Yemen

A Houthi spokesperson said that the Yemeni group's new ceasefire with the United States does not extend to Israel, after U.S. President Donald Trump on May 6 declared an end to the U.S. military campaign against the Houthis, Reuters reported May 7.

Yemen: Houthi Spokesperson Says Ceasefire With U.S. Does Not Include Israel

Argentina

Venezuela

United States Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on social media that five Venezuelan opposition members have been successfully rescued from Argentina's embassy in Caracas after 412 days, Reuters reported May 6. 

U.S., Venezuela: Rescue of Opposition Members from Argentinian Embassy in Caracas Underscores U.S. Opposition to Venezuela

Columns

On Geopolitics

Iran

Iraq

A U.S. Marine Corps F-35B aircraft over the North Sea having taken off from RAF Fairford on July 1, 2016 in Gloucestershire, England. The tactic designed to allow intervention without deepening withdrawalism will instead do the opposite, and Washington will face more and more calls to retrench from the Middle East.

The tactic designed to allow intervention without deepening withdrawalism will instead do the opposite, and Washington will face more and more calls to retrench from the Middle East.

Washington Bumps up Against the Limits of Airpower in the Middle East

Assessments

United Kingdom

U.S. President Donald Trump -- flanked by Vice President JD Vance (left) and Peter Mandelson, the U.K. ambassador to the United States (right) -- holds a phone call with U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer in the Oval Office of the White House on May 8, 2025. 

Global Trade

The agreement's narrow scope and quota system suggest the White House remains intent on restricting imports, meaning tariff relief for most other countries reaching deals will also be limited.

Trump Reaches First Post-Tariff Trade Deal With the U.K.

Tracking U.S. Naval Power

This map shows the approximate locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups and Amphibious Ready Groups.

U.S. Naval Update Map: May 8, 2025

The allure of implementing a sphere of influence model is more likely to disappoint those who may argue that it would create more stability and security.

The Temptations of a Sphere-of-Influence Model of International Relations

Saudi Arabia

Kazakhstan

The OPEC logo is seen outside the bloc's headquarters in Vienna, Austria, on Oct. 4, 2022.

The production boost will further decrease oil prices, which will provide some financial relief for oil-consuming countries affected by U.S. tariffs, while further straining the budgets of poorer oil producers like Iraq. 

The Mixed Economic Impact of OPEC's Production Increase

Drag-line excavator mines rare earth materials on Ukrainian soil on Feb. 25, 2025, in the Zhytomyr region of Ukraine. 

A new U.S.-Ukraine economic deal offers Washington a long-term stake in Ukraine's critical resources -- and a potential lever in ceasefire diplomacy.

New Strategic Pact Gives U.S. Stake in Ukraine's Economic Future

U.S. Naval Update Map: May 1, 2025

A woman walks by anti-U.S. murals on the walls of the former U.S. embassy in downtown Tehran, Iran, on April 11, 2025. 

U.S.-Iran Relations

The U.S. will likely have to allow some Iranian uranium enrichment to ink a nuclear deal, likely resulting in Saudi Arabia seeking similar provisions for its own civilian nuclear program.

With Iran and Saudi Arabia, the U.S. Faces a Uranium Enrichment Dilemma

Canada

Italy

India

Pakistan

Indian soldiers stand guard atop their vehicle in Srinagar, India, on April 23, 2025, following a deadly militant attack on tourists in Indian-administered Kashmir.

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: Escalating Pakistan-India Tensions, Canadian Elections and Pope Francis' Funeral

A digital illustration of the Chinese and EU flags.

Transatlantic trade tensions have created a window for tactical EU-China engagement, but structural constraints and unresolved disputes limit prospects for meaningful realignment.

Budding EU-China Rapprochement Amid U.S. Tariffs Will Have Its Limits

United Arab Emirates

Yemeni soldiers stand guard during a protest against the United States on April 18, 2025 in Sanaa, Yemen. 

As intensified U.S. airstrikes fail to halt Houthi attacks on Israel and Red Sea shipping, Washington is increasingly likely to seek on-the-ground Yemeni partners to pressure the militant movement.


In Yemen, the U.S.'s Anti-Houthi Campaign Raises the Specter of a Government Ground Offensive

U.S. Naval Update Map: April 24, 2025

The United States encompasses territory spanning from the Arctic Circle and Central Pacific to the Gulf of Mexico and the North Atlantic.    The Greater Mississippi Basin is the United States' core and serves as the underpinning of its role as a global superpower.    The basin hosts an extensive network of navigable rivers that overlay the world's largest contiguous piece of arable land. This naturally interconnected river system facilitated integration among settlers and allowed for cheap transport of goods, providing the United States with the ability to feed itself efficiently and rapidly build up industry and capital to expand west. The Midwestern core gave early America strategic depth, while an expanding U.S. coastline, naturally indented with deep harbors, provided its opening to the world.    After reaching the Pacific coast in the mid-19th century, the United States found itself insulated by two oceans. On the continent itself, geography again has worked in the country's favor: lakes to the north and deserts to the south insulate the United States' population centers, with both Canada and Mexico facing too many natural constraints of their own to seriously rival it.    This unparalleled level of wealth and protection gives the United States options that few to no countries can claim. For one, the United States has used its wealth and security to build up the world's largest navy. Control of the world's major sea-lanes gives the United States the power to facilitate or deny trade to allies or rivals of the day. The onus therefore is on the United States to carefully manage its engagements abroad and build up strategic allies to protect its overseas interests and preserve its strength at home. 

SITUATION REPORTS

Indonesia, Thailand, U.S.: Jakarta and Bangkok Seek Energy Realignment To Avert Tariffs

U.S., Russia: Trump Insists on Ceasefire, Suggests Sanctions Against Russia

EU, U.S.: Brussels Prepares New Retaliatory Package on U.S. Products Should Talks Fail

Syria: Qatar Gains U.S. Sanctions Exemptions To Pay Syrian Civil Servant Salaries

China, U.S.: Trade Talks To Commence in Switzerland

Brazil, U.S.: Brazil Opposes Designating Local Organized Criminal Groups as Terrorists

Yemen: Houthi Spokesperson Says Ceasefire With U.S. Does Not Include Israel

U.S., Venezuela: Rescue of Opposition Members from Argentinian Embassy in Caracas Underscores U.S. Opposition to Venezuela

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