Colombia

United States

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Politics

Far-right outsider ​Abelardo De La Espriella received 43.7% of the votes in Colombia's first-round presidential election on May 31, while leftist Sen. Ivan Cepeda received 40.9%, El Tiempo reported the same day.

Colombia: Espriella Leads First Round Vote as Petro and Cepeda Cast Doubt on Results

Mexico

The White House announced on May 6 that U.S. President Donald Trump had signed the new United States Counterterrorism Strategy on May 5.

U.S.: President Trump Signs New Counterterrorism Strategy

Colombia's Constitutional Court unanimously struck down a tax on power generation companies and ordered the government to return the funds collected so far, El Pais reported on May 6. 

Colombia: Constitutional Court Overturns Tax Decree on Power Generators

Barbados

Venezuela

Energy

Venezuela's acting President Delcy Rodriguez arrived in Barbados for her second official trip in office, El Pais reported on April 26.

Latin America: Rodriguez Visits Barbados After Meeting With Colombia's Petro

Ecuador

Colombia's President Gustavo Petro announced on April 13 that he will not impose the 100% retaliatory tariff on Ecuadorian goods that his trade minister announced on April 10, Reuters reported on April 13.

Colombia, Ecuador: Petro Backtracks on 100% Tariffs on Ecuador, Issues Accusations

Ecuador announced that it would raise tariffs on Colombian imports from 50% to 100% starting on May 1 due to "Colombia's failure to implement concrete and effective border security ‌measures," Reuters reported on April 9, citing a government statement.

Ecuador, Colombia: Ecuador Raises Tariffs on Colombia as Diplomatic Tensions Escalate 

Colombian President Gustavo Petro said he would ​submit a new tax reform bill to Congress ‌to balance the 2026 budget, El Colombiano reported on April 7.

Colombia: Petro Seeks New Tax Reform To Fund 2026 Budget, Threatens To Bypass Congress

U.S. federal prosecutors are conducting at least two separate investigations into Colombian President Gustavo Petro over alleged meetings with drug traffickers and whether his presidential campaign solicited funds from criminals, The New York Times reported on March 20.

U.S., Colombia: U.S. Prosecutors Investigate Petro Over Connections With Drug Traffickers

Assessments

Iran

Israel

Lebanon

The Ateela 2 Oil Tanker on April 28 on Qeshm Island, Iran in the Strait of Hormuz.

Environment, Science & Technology

U.S.-Iran Relations

Science & Technology

A look at what the coming week will bring -- and a list of recommended RANE articles from the week that was.

The Weekly Rundown: U.S.-Iran Discussions, Brussels To Unveil Tech Sovereignty Package

Supporters of Colombian presidential candidate Ivan Cepeda wave flags ahead of his closing campaign rally in Barranquilla, Colombia, on May 24, 2026.

Global Elections

A left-wing victory would portend increased social spending and policy gridlock, a far-right win would portend austerity and decree-based governance, and a center-right win would foster market-friendly policies and stability.

Colombia's Presidential Election: Potential Outcomes and Their Implications

Chile

China

Germany

Greece

France

United Kingdom

Cyprus

Netherlands

Spain

Italy

Plumes of smoke rise following reported explosions in Tehran on March 2, 2026, after U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on Feb. 28 killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other top military leaders, prompting a new wave of Iranian retaliatory missile attacks across the region. 

The Weekly Rundown: War in the Middle East, U.S.-China Trade Talks

Iranian newspapers one of them (R) with a headline in Persian reading "Iran is ready for a big response," Jan. 27 in Tehran in Iran. U.S. President Donald Trump is considering a range of military options against Iran.

The Weekly Rundown: The U.S. and Colombian Presidents Meet, The Threat of U.S. Strikes on Iran

Nigeria

Cuba

Greenland

Taiwan

Europe

Norway

Ukraine

Russia

India

Pakistan

Cyber

Global Trade

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Social Issues

U.S.-China Relations

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026 highlights high-impact, low-probability risks and trends from the annual forecast presented in more extreme terms.

RANE's Top 10 Risks for 2026

Brazil

Guyana

Venezuela's National Assembly President Jorge Rodriguez (C) gestures during the official picture of the new National Assembly in Caracas on Jan. 5, 2026. 

Venezuela's acting president is most likely to cooperate with the United States to keep the country's regime intact, but other, more volatile scenarios remain possible. 

Venezuela's Post-Maduro Outlook: Potential Scenarios

Belize

Dominican Republic

El Salvador

Guatemala

Haiti

Honduras

Bahamas

Trinidad and Tobago

Jamaica

A U.S. Marine V-22 Osprey takes off from Jose Aponte de la Torre Airport, formerly Roosevelt Roads Naval Station, on Sept. 13, 2025, in Ceiba, Puerto Rico. 

The Trump administration will likely expand its attacks against alleged drug traffickers in the region over the next year, potentially extending to land-based targets, which will create safety, operational and compliance challenges for organizations.

The Outlook for U.S. Strikes on Drug Traffickers in Latin America and the Caribbean

Argentina

Bolivia

Costa Rica

Nicaragua

Panama

Paraguay

Peru

Suriname

Uruguay

(L-R) Colombian Foreign Minister Laura Sarabia, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and Honduran Foreign Minister Eduardo Enrique Reina attend a plenary session of the China-CELAC ministerial meeting at the Great Hall of the People on May 13, 2025, in Beijing, China. 

Latin America and the Caribbean will welcome China's increased engagement, but strong ties to the West and China's economic slowdown will limit Beijing's influence in the region.

Despite Stronger Trade Ties, China's Influence in Latin America Will Remain Limited

Sub-Saharan Africa

Democratic Republic of the Congo

Ethiopia

Tanzania

Americas

Iraq

Jordan

Palestinian Territories

Syria

Yemen

Cambodia

Indonesia

North Macedonia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Serbia

Albania

Kosovo

South Asia

Afghanistan

Bangladesh

The lobby of the headquarters for the U.S. Agency for International Development is seen on Feb. 3, 2025, in Washington, D.C. 

Cuts to U.S.-funded humanitarian and development programs could worsen global health outcomes, destabilize security environments, accelerate democratic backsliding, and create opportunities for rival powers to expand their influence.

The Global Implications of Trump's Foreign Aid Cuts

Colombian Foreign Relations Minister Luis Gilberto Murillo (C) looks on with other Colombian officials during a Jan. 26 press conference on a diplomatic dispute with the United States at the San Carlos Palace in Bogota, Colombia. 

The U.S. threat of tariffs and sanctions on Colombia because of a dispute over migrants offers a precedent for future White House threats against countries in Latin America and other parts of the world.

What Trump's Sanction and Tariff Threats Mean For Colombia 

U.S. border patrol officials drive near the wall along the Mexican border in Sasabe, Arizona, on Dec. 8, 2023. 

The fallout from Trump's pledged tariffs and mass deportations could worsen living conditions in countries like Mexico, though countries with like-minded leaders, like Argentina, may fare better.

What Trump's Focus on Immigration, Trade and Ideology Means for Latin America

Snapshots

Colombian President Gustavo Petro sits in front of a Colombian flag during a meeting in Lisbon, Portugal, on May 6, 2023. 

The president's struggle to find consensus with lawmakers will likely see him resort to controversial decrees or referendums to try to enact his proposed policy reforms. 

In Colombia, Ongoing Legislative Gridlock Bodes Ill for Petro's Reform Agenda

Colombia is located at the strategic meeting point of Central and South America. The country shares a land border with Panama, Venezuela, Brazil, Peru and Ecuador, and has coasts on both the Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea.    Colombia's modern borders began to take shape in 1831 with the division of Simon Bolivar's Gran Colombia. In 1903, the country lost another strategic territory when Panama gained its independence. Ever since, Colombia has had to maintain friendly relations with whoever controls the Panama Canal.    Colombia is dissected by three Andean mountain ranges: the Western, Central, and Eastern Cordilleras. Because of the country's tropical equatorial climate, major population centers are concentrated in temperate zones at higher altitudes.     The country's economic and political heartland is the capital city of Bogota. This core region has a population of roughly 8 million people. The Magdalena River Basin connects the core to Cartagena and Barranquilla, the country's largest ports.      The dense Amazonian rain forests to the south, the sparsely populated Orinoco plains to the east, and the Pacific coastline make up Colombia's periphery. These regions are home to valuable commodities such as oil and coal, as well as areas of drug trafficking and rebel insurgency. Consolidating control over these areas is currently Colombia's primary geographic challenge.      Looking forward, the country's natural resource wealth and close proximity to the United States could lead to ongoing economic opportunities. That said, the country will continue to be constrained by security challenges and by poor integration between Colombia's population centers, the resource-rich hinterlands and the coasts.

SITUATION REPORTS

Colombia: Espriella Leads First Round Vote as Petro and Cepeda Cast Doubt on Results

U.S.: President Trump Signs New Counterterrorism Strategy

Colombia: Constitutional Court Overturns Tax Decree on Power Generators

Latin America: Rodriguez Visits Barbados After Meeting With Colombia's Petro

Colombia, Ecuador: Petro Backtracks on 100% Tariffs on Ecuador, Issues Accusations

Ecuador, Colombia: Ecuador Raises Tariffs on Colombia as Diplomatic Tensions Escalate

Colombia: Petro Seeks New Tax Reform To Fund 2026 Budget, Threatens To Bypass Congress

U.S., Colombia: U.S. Prosecutors Investigate Petro Over Connections With Drug Traffickers

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